Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Quinonez A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (198/276) | 77% (271/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (198/276) | 77% (271/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/91) | 66% (72/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Comas L. 🟨,
- 32', Quintana S. 🟨,
- 34', Segovia I. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Tanda P. ⚽, Romero N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Franco T. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 54', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Maggi I. ⚽,
- 61', 🟨,
- 65', Martinez L. 🟨,
- 67', Tanda P. ↓, Manzur A. ↑,
- 67', Romero N. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 75', Balbuena A. ↓, Martinez Cubilla A. M. ↑,
- 75', Diaz J. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
- 75', Ramos M. ↓, Barbotte A. ↑,
- 78', Servin T. 🟨,
- 81', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 83', Maggi I. 🟨,
- 84', Rodriguez D. ↓, Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 84', Lopez M. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 85', Maiz A. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 85', Comas L. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 86', Benitez F. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Servio G. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
54.3% | Draw
26.6% | Sportivo Luqueño
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaraní Asuncion's performance.Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Luqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Luqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.99) |
3.5 ↓
(3.56) |
4.89 ↑
(3.47) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.
- Recent performances by Guaraní have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sportivo Luqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
23.02.2026
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
3:2
30.11.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:1
05.09.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:3
24.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:1
23.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
