Tusker vs Police FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Zakayo E. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Simiyu D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Tusker
35.7%
Draw
33.7%
Police FC
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 33.2% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 32.3% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Tusker - Police FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.4)
    2.69
    (2.75)
    2.96
    (3.17)
    10.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Tusker - Police FC?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Police (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Police (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 2.
    • Tusker is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Police has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tusker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Police has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Police FC were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Tusker - Police FC 0:0
    29.09.2024 Police FC - Tusker 1:1
    20.12.2023 Tusker - Police FC 1:0
    15.04.2023 Tusker - Police FC 1:0
    28.01.2023 Police FC - Tusker 3:0
    Latest results of Tusker
    07.11.2025 Bidco United - Tusker 0:1
    02.11.2025 Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker 1:1
    29.10.2025 Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks 2:1
    26.10.2025 Muranga Seal - Tusker 0:1
    05.10.2025 Tusker - Shabana 1:1
    Latest results of Police FC
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia25175344:182656
    2Leopards25147433:181549
    3Police FC251010522:17540
    4Shabana25117730:27340
    5Kakamega Homeboyz24109535:26939
    6Muranga25108733:27638
    7Tusker251141023:25-237
    8Bandari25713520:18234
    9KCB2597925:27-234
    10Nairobi United2396828:24433
    11Posta Rangers25710823:29-631
    12Mara Sugar24612623:23030
    13Mathare Utd25861122:24-230
    14Kariobangi Sharks255101018:28-1025
    15Ulinzi Stars25571322:30-822
    16Bidco United254101116:28-1222
    17APS Bomet25491224:33-921
    18Sofapaka25361615:34-1915

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          Relegation ~ Super League