Result
0:2
26/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Koutiama Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 2, Omar A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
19.8% | Draw
29.6% | Police FC
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Police FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Police FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sofapaka - Police FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↑
(3.22) |
3.08 ↑
(2.95) |
1.81 ↓
(2.25) |
9.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Police FC?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Police (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.
- Sofapaka has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Police has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Police might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Police FC?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police FC won against Sofapaka?
Police FC has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Police FC were as follows:
05.11.2025
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
1:0
02.02.2025
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
1:1
06.11.2024
Sofapaka
-
Police FC
1:1
27.04.2024
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
4:0
20.04.2024
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
2:1
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Police FC
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
