Result
 
                    4:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        04/07/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Stars League - Round 38
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Iraq | Almanasa, Iraqia Syriac | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
 - 9', 1 - 0, Khalif Mohammed Q. (Pen), 
 - 16', 2 - 0, Khalif Mohammed Q. ⚽, 
 - 20', 2 - 1, Luqman G. ⚽, 
 - 44', 2 - 2, Mansor S. (Pen), 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 1)
 - 52', 2 - 3, Safaa M. ⚽, 
 - 90+2', 3 - 3, Karrar J. ⚽, 
 - 90+8', 4 - 3, Ouro-Agoro I. (Pen), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Naft Al-Basra  37% | Draw  31.8% | Arbil  31.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Naft Al-Basra - Arbil Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.44 ↑ (2.28) | 
			   2.84 ↓ (2.91) | 
			   2.91 ↓ (3.17) | 
			   10.5% (9.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
 - Naft Al-Basra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - Arbil's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
 - Recently, Arbil has had a series of home games.
  - Naft Al-Basra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
 - In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
 - Including home match between the teams, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Naft Al-Basra won against Arbil?
                    
                    
                        
                            Naft Al-Basra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Naft Al-Basra?
                    
                    
                        
                             Arbil has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Naft Al-Basra - Arbil were as follows:
                                                        
                                03.11.2024 
                                Arbil 
                                - 
                                Naft Al-Basra 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.12.2023 
                                Naft Al-Basra 
                                - 
                                Arbil 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.01.2023 
                                Arbil 
                                - 
                                Naft Al-Basra 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Naft Al-Basra                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Erbil | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 | 
| 2 | Diyala | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 | 
| 3 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 | 
| 4 | Al Shorta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 | 
| 5 | Al Gharraf | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 12 | 
| 6 | Al Karkh | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 | 
| 7 | Al Naft | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 10 | 
| 8 | Zakho | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 | 
| 9 | Al-Karma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 | 
| 10 | Al Minaa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Al Talaba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 | 
| 12 | Al Zawraa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 | 
| 13 | Al Najaf | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 | 
| 14 | Al Mosul | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | 
| 15 | Baghdad | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | Duhok | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 | 
| 17 | Naft Missan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 | 
| 18 | Newroz | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 3 | 
| 19 | Al Kahraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 | 
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 | 
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