Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (216/293) | 81% (389/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (216/293) | 81% (389/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/46) | 54% (33/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (44/83) | 62% (69/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 29', Lepskii I. ↓, Chernov N. ↑,
- 32', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
- 34', Kuzyaev D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Hodza V. ⚽, Shabanhaxhaj D. (A),
- 62', Sutormin A. ↓, Rasskazov N. ↑,
- 62', Ignatenko V. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 62', Banjac M. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
- 71', Akhmetov I. ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,
- 71', Shabanhaxhaj D. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
- 77', Teslenko E. 🟨,
- 85', Jocic B. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 85', Kabutov D. ↓, Lobov N. ↑,
- 90+2', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Rasskazov N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
49.6% | Draw
26.7% | Krylya Sovetov
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rubin Kazan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.04) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
4.07 ↑
(3.5) |
3.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rubin (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Rubin (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rubin Kazan will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rubin (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 1.
- Recent form of Rubin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Krylya Sovetov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krylya Sovetov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Rubin: Maldonado D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Rakov V.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Vityugov M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Krylya Sovetov?
Rubin Kazan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Rubin Kazan?
Krylya Sovetov has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
05.04.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Rubin Kazan
1:1
13.09.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Krylya Sovetov
0:2
04.07.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Rubin Kazan
2:2
14.04.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Rubin Kazan
2:0
18.08.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
