Rubin Kazan vs Krylya Sovetov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ak Bars Arena (Kazan).

Premier League - Round 11
Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.27
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
74% (216/293)	81% (389/479)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.91	0.11
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
9	1
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
21	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
20	14
Passes
74% (216/293)	81% (389/479)
Long passes
30% (14/46)	54% (33/61)
Passes in final third
53% (44/83)	62% (69/111)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.55
Throw-ins
24	22
Fouls
14	20
Tackles
70% (7/10)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
45	40
Clearances
27	32
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.11	1.91
Goals prevented
0.11	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽,
29', Lepskii I. ↓, Chernov N. ↑,
32', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
34', Kuzyaev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Hodza V. ⚽, Shabanhaxhaj D. (A),
62', Sutormin A. ↓, Rasskazov N. ↑,
62', Ignatenko V. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
62', Banjac M. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
71', Akhmetov I. ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,
71', Shabanhaxhaj D. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
77', Teslenko E. 🟨,
85', Jocic B. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
85', Kabutov D. ↓, Lobov N. ↑,
90+2', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
90+3', Rasskazov N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rubin Kazan
49.6%

Draw
26.7%

Krylya Sovetov
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rubin Kazan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.04)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	4.07 ↑ (3.5)	3.9% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov?

Users Predictions: Rubin Kazan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 1.
Recent form of Rubin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Krylya Sovetov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Krylya Sovetov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.
In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Rubin: Maldonado D. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Rakov V. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Vityugov M. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Krylya Sovetov?

Rubin Kazan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Rubin Kazan?

Krylya Sovetov has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:

05.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Rubin Kazan 1:1

13.09.2024 Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov 0:2

04.07.2024 Krylya Sovetov - Rubin Kazan 2:2

14.04.2024 Krylya Sovetov - Rubin Kazan 2:0

18.08.2023 Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov 2:1

Latest results of Rubin Kazan

30.09.2025 Rubin Kazan - Zenit 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan 2:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Rubin Kazan - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Krylya Sovetov

01.10.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Sochi 4:3 ✺

26.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow 2:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Sochi 2:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lokomotiv Moscow	12	7	5	0	29:16	13	26
2	Krasnodar	12	8	2	2	24:7	17	26
3	CSKA Moscow	12	7	3	2	22:13	9	24
4	Zenit	12	6	5	1	24:10	14	23
5	Baltika	12	6	5	1	18:6	12	23
6	Spartak Moscow	12	5	4	3	20:18	2	19
7	Rubin Kazan	12	5	3	4	15:18	-3	18
8	Dynamo Moscow	12	4	4	4	20:19	1	16
9	Akhmat Grozny	12	4	4	4	16:15	1	16
10	FK Rostov	12	3	5	4	10:13	-3	14
11	Krylya Sovetov	12	3	4	5	17:22	-5	13
12	Akron Togliatti	12	2	5	5	14:18	-4	11
13	Dynamo Makhachkala	12	2	4	6	5:15	-10	10
14	Orenburg	12	1	5	6	14:23	-9	8
15	Pari NN	12	2	0	10	9:23	-14	6
16	Sochi	12	1	2	9	7:28	-21	5

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL