Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (242/319) | 82% (364/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (242/319) | 82% (364/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 64% (39/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (42/78) | 68% (100/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Oleynikov I. ⚽,
- 34', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
- 45+2', Chevardin D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
- 46', Chevardin D. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 51', Silyanov A. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Rahmanovic A. ⚽, Banjac M. (A),
- 57', Karpukas A. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 60', Montes C. 🟨,
- 61', Oroz D. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
- 61', Banjac M. ↓, Akhmetov I. ↑,
- 71', Lucas Fasson ↓, Vera L. ↑,
- 73', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
- 79', Shumansky A. 🟨,
- 86', Oleynikov I. ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
- 86', Vityugov M. ↓, Lepskii I. ↑,
- 90+2', Pechenin K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Rasskazov N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krylya Sovetov
25.4% | Draw
26.7% | Lokomotiv Moscow
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.77) |
3.65 ↓
(3.89) |
2.04 ↑
(2.03) |
2.5%
(1.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 2.
- Recent form of Krylya Sovetov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lokomotiv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lokomotiv is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Babkin S.
(Red Card)
Evgenyev R.
(Yellow Cards)
Galdames T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Rudenko A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Geoffrey C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vityugov M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Krylya Sovetov has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Krylya Sovetov?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
19.03.2026
Krylya Sovetov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2
31.08.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:2
28.03.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
5:1
06.10.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:0
25.11.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:3
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
