Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopards – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Masaba J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Gor Mahia
46.2%
Draw
30.3%
AFC Leopards
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 29.9% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 29.2% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.93)
    3
    (3.04)
    3.86
    (3.96)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 2.
    • Gor Mahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leopards has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leopards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gor Mahia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:8. (average 1.5:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards were as follows:
    02.06.2025 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 1:1
    30.03.2025 AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia 0:0
    21.04.2024 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 1:0
    07.10.2023 AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia 0:2
    14.05.2023 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 1:2
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    25.11.2025 Gor Mahia - APS Bomet 1:4
    22.11.2025 Gor Mahia - Tusker 1:0
    09.11.2025 Police FC - Gor Mahia 0:2
    02.11.2025 Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars 1:1
    30.10.2025 Mathare United - Gor Mahia 0:2
    Latest results of AFC Leopards
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8Bandari23711519:17232
    9KCB2295822:23-132
    10Nairobi United1985625:20529
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League