Result
1:0
14/04/2026 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Mwakasaba J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Tusker
23.2% | Draw
30% | Gor Mahia
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Tusker - Gor Mahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↓
(3.99) |
3.02 ↓
(3.16) |
1.94 ↑
(1.9) |
10.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tusker - Gor Mahia?
Users Predictions:
Gor Mahia will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 1.
- Tusker has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gor Mahia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tusker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gor Mahia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Gor Mahia?
Tusker has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Tusker?
Gor Mahia has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Gor Mahia were as follows:
22.11.2025
Gor Mahia
-
Tusker
1:0
16.02.2025
Gor Mahia
-
Tusker
0:0
19.01.2025
Tusker
-
Gor Mahia
2:1
20.01.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Tusker
1:0
22.10.2023
Tusker
-
Gor Mahia
0:1
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 43:31 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
