Result
5:1
22/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 36
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Watson D. (Own goal),
- 38', 1 - 1, Nelson A. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Sterling M. ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 85', 4 - 1, Brown B. ⚽,
- 90', 5 - 1, Lucas Lima ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montego Bay United
63.5% | Draw
22% | Tivoli Gardens
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montego Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.43) |
4.12 ↓
(4.55) |
6.23 ↓
(6.71) |
10.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montego Bay United won 3.
- Montego Bay United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tivoli Gardens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Montego Bay United is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montego Bay United won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montego Bay United won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Montego Bay United won against Tivoli Gardens?
Montego Bay United has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Montego Bay United?
Tivoli Gardens has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
15.01.2026
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
0:1
14.09.2025
Montego Bay United
-
Tivoli Gardens
3:1
12.05.2025
Montego Bay United
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:1
09.05.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
1:2
04.05.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
2:1
Latest results of Montego Bay United
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay ✔ | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 78:41 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 62:24 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Portmore | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | Waterhouse ✔ | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 44:32 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Racing United | 37 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 37 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 55:44 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Dunbeholden | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 37:53 | -16 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 40 |
| 12 | Molynes | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 51:71 | -20 | 36 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police ✔ | 37 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 25:101 | -76 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Spanish Town Police is Relegated to
