Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 17
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (310/404) | 75% (278/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (310/404) | 75% (278/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 34% (21/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (84/122) | 58% (53/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Antonin (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 1, Hasic A. ⚽,
- 61', Nono ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 61', Kaminski W. ↓, Remacle M. ↑,
- 62', Henriksson G. 🟨,
- 69', Wojcik O. 🟨,
- 70', Madejski S. 🟨,
- 73', Davidovic S. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 73', Praszelik M. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
- 85', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 85', Minchev M. ↓, Olafsson D. ↑,
- 90', Hasic A. ↓, Pila D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
38.8% | Draw
30.3% | Cracovia
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Korona Kielce - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.31) |
3.09 ↑
(3.03) |
3.05 ↑
(2.8) |
6.1%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Cracovia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Cracovia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
- Recent performances by Korona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cracovia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Korona has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Korona: Ciszek K.
(Inactive)
Smolarczyk B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Charpentier G.
(Inactive)
Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
Klich M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Korona: Cebula M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Cracovia?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Korona Kielce?
Cracovia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Cracovia were as follows:
05.07.2025
Cracovia
-
Korona Kielce
2:1
14.02.2025
Cracovia
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
10.08.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Cracovia
0:2
09.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Cracovia
1:1
02.09.2023
Cracovia
-
Korona Kielce
0:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
