Result
4:1
19/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (491/558) | 77% (265/345) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.52 | 2.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (491/558) | 77% (265/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (62/90) | 67% (82/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.60 | 3.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.60 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Makuch P. ⚽,
- 43', Sutalo B. 🟨,
- 45', Al Ammari A. 🟥,
- 45', 2 - 0, Brunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Dawidowicz P. ↓, Mosor A. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 1, Kameri D. ⚽,
- 58', Brusberg I. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 1, Makuch P. ⚽,
- 62', Tudor F. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 62', Brusberg I. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
- 62', Kameri D. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 71', Wojcik O. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 71', Sans P. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
- 72', Klich M. ↓, Batoum J. ↑,
- 82', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 82', Bulat M. ↓, Abraham O. ↑,
- 82', Pila D. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
- 90', Henriksson G. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
49.7% | Draw
27.9% | Cracovia
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Raków Częstochowa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.78) |
3.33 ↑
(3.19) |
4.16 ↑
(3.93) |
7.4%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 19.1% – 73.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 1.
- Raków is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cracovia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Raków is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Bogacz W.
(Broken collarbone)
Kakabadze O.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Trelowski K.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Cracovia?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Raków Częstochowa?
Cracovia has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia were as follows:
29.10.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Cracovia
3:0
18.10.2025
Cracovia
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:0
01.02.2025
Cracovia
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
29.07.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Cracovia
0:1
19.05.2024
Cracovia
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:0
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
