Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Moragrega V. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),
- 28', Jimenez L. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, del Campo R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
- 46', Jimenez L. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
- 46', Nambo M. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
- 48', Moragrega V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', Moragrega V. 🟨,
- 60', Moragrega V. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 66', Ledesma L. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 69', del Campo R. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 70', Moreno G. ↓, Avila Jaimes H. E. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Zamora S. ⚽, Medina C. (A),
- 77', Dominguez M. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 77', Ochoa Brandon ↓, Figueroa B. ↑,
- 78', Tellez B. ↓, Soldati C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
41.9% | Draw
26.9% | Atlético Morelia
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Tapatío - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.3) |
3.42 ↓
(3.46) |
2.94 ↑
(2.89) |
8.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Atlético Morelia?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
- Tapatío has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Morelia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Atlético Morelia?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tapatío?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
11.10.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Tapatío
0:0
17.01.2025
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
1:0
02.08.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tapatío
1:4
17.02.2024
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
17.09.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Tapatío
0:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
