Result
3:2
14/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Mendoza B. ⚽, Guzman W. (A),
- 24', Dominguez I. 🟨,
- 26', Venegas J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, del Campo R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 32', Venegas J. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 37', Nambo M. 🟨,
- 45+5', del Campo R. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 2, Dominguez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Figueroa B. ↓, Botello O. ↑,
- 56', del Campo R. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
- 60', Botello O. 🟨,
- 67', Hernandez S. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 68', Ochoa Brandon 🟨,
- 70', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 72', Mendoza B. 🟨,
- 72', Mendoza B. 🟨,
- 76', Ochoa Brandon ↓, Alejandre R. G. ↑,
- 76', Samano L. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 83', Samano Salgado F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Aguilar D. (Own goal),
- 90+7', Flores A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Flores A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
33.9% | Draw
28.7% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Morelia's form might have worsened.Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tepatitlán de Morelos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Morelia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tepatitlán de Morelos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.03) |
3.2 ↓
(3.42) |
2.47 ↓
(3.51) |
8.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Atlético Morelia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlético Morelia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlético Morelia?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
03.10.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético Morelia
3:2
31.01.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético Morelia
3:1
17.08.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:1
04.02.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético Morelia
2:1
02.11.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Jaiba Brava (5) | |
