Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Somozas 42.6% | Draw 31.7% | Gran Peña 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Somozas - Gran Peña Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.09) |
2.87 ↓ (2.96) |
3.55 ↑ (3.5) |
9.7% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1.
- Somozas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Gran Peña has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Somozas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Somozas won against Gran Peña?
Somozas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Somozas?
Gran Peña has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Somozas - Gran Peña were as follows:
28.09.2025
Gran Peña
-
Somozas
0:0
19.01.2025
Gran Peña
-
Somozas
0:4
08.09.2024
Somozas
-
Gran Peña
0:1
09.03.2024
Somozas
-
Gran Peña
0:0
22.10.2023
Gran Peña
-
Somozas
1:1
Latest results of Somozas
Latest results of Gran Peña
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 41:20 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 3 | Somozas | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 42 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 29:19 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | Atletico Arteixo | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Barco | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Estradense | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Celtiga | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | Boiro | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 36 |
| 12 | Alondras | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Montaneros | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Cambados | 26 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17:26 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Noia | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18:42 | -24 | 18 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16:46 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation