Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (169/222) | 86% (338/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (169/222) | 86% (338/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 72% (31/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (37/61) | 79% (135/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Tavares R. ⚽, Ruan Assis (A),
- 39', Bruninho 🟨,
- 42', Ian Luccas 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nathan Pelae ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
- 46', Bruninho ↓, Joao Miguel ↑,
- 46', Ruan Assis ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
- 57', Ale ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
- 57', Gabriel Barros ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 62', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
- 63', Jota ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
- 67', Jhonny ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 73', Felipe Amaral ↓, Val Soares ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Gonzalo Mastriani ⚽,
- 89', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Alexandre Pena ↑,
- 90+3', Diogo Batista 🟨,
- 90+4', Tavares R. ↓, Samuel Otusanya ↑,
- 90+4', Rafa Barcelos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
37.5% | Draw
31.6% | América Mineiro
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Athletic Club - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.31) |
2.95 ↓
(2.97) |
3.03 ↓
(3.27) |
7.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1.
- Athletic is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- América MG has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Athletic: Douglas Pele
(Injury)
Fabricio Isidoro
(Inactive)
Jhonatan Luiz
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Gelado
(Inactive)
Sidimar
(Inactive)
Vera D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
- We predict that Athletic will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against América Mineiro?
Athletic Club has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletic Club?
América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - América Mineiro were as follows:
11.01.2026
América Mineiro
-
Athletic Club
3:0
25.10.2025
Athletic Club
-
América Mineiro
0:2
07.07.2025
América Mineiro
-
Athletic Club
0:1
07.02.2023
Athletic Club
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
