Barra Santa Catarina vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí
Result
1:0
07/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Santa Catarina - Round 5

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 78', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Barra Santa Catarina
56.1%
Draw
23.1%
Avaí
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 25.5% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 24.3% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barra Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (2.02)
    3.95
    (3.6)
    4.4
    (3.14)
    9.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Barra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avaí has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barra is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Avaí - Barra Santa Catarina 2:1
    15.02.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí 1:0
    28.02.2024 Avaí - Barra Santa Catarina 1:0
    08.02.2023 Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí 4:3
    Latest results of Avaí
    03.10.2025 CRB Maceio - Avaí 1:0
    29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2
    25.09.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 0:1
    Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense642016:61014
    2Marcilio Dias641123:51813
    3Avai61144:16-124
    4Barra FC61054:20-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Catarina651013:31016
    2Chapecoense-SC61414:6-27
    3Brusque61235:6-15
    4Concordia61144:11-74


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau641113:6713
    2Joinville63127:6110
    3Carlos Renaux61328:9-16
    4Nacao60332:9-73


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma642015:51014
    2Tubarao62225:6-18
    3Caravaggio62045:11-66
    4Camboriu61236:9-35

          Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)