Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
3:2
27/12/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 10
  • Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustralia10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, SPOTV 2
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2, Sky Sport 4
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV 2, True ID
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.952.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
926
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
83% (361/435)84% (360/430)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.952.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.272.21
Total shots
926
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
211
Blocked Shots
29
Shots inside the Box
916
Shots outside the Box
010
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2543
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
79
Passes
83% (361/435)84% (360/430)
Long passes
49% (28/57)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
76% (67/88)70% (100/143)
Crosses
13% (1/8)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.66
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
97
Tackles
58% (7/12)65% (13/20)
Duels won
3454
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.212.27
Goals prevented
0.21-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
  • 45+2', Stajcic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Hammond A. ⚽, Simmons A. (A),
  • 63', White R. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
  • 63', Duzel L. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
  • 63', Jovanovic L. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
  • 63', Brillante J. ↓, Scicluna D. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Ayoubi A. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
  • 71', 2 - 2, Borrello B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 76', Borrello B. ↓, Lual A. ↑,
  • 76', Hammond A. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
  • 82', Kuol A. 🟨,
  • 85', Simmons A. ↓, Cleur G. ↑,
  • 87', Goodwin C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dukuly Y. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Yull J. ⚽, Ayoubi A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adelaide United
36.9%		Draw
25.1%		Western Sydney Wanderers
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 26% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 25.6% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.
  • Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.55 ↑
    (2.06)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.57)    		 2.48 ↓
    (3.18)    		 6.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 32.6% – 78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Western Sydney (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Western Sydney (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Western Sydney (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Western Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Western Sydney has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Madanha P. (Red Card) Vriends B. (Hamstring Injury) Yull J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Western Sydney: Gersbach A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:44. (average 1.9:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.8:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:0
    27.12.2024 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:3
    02.11.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United 3:4
    12.09.2024 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:1
    24.02.2024 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:2
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    20.12.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar 0:1 ✺
    28.11.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
    19.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC 0:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 0:0 ✺
    05.12.2025 Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney 1:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners 3:2 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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