Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente
55%
Draw
27.2%
Defensa y Justicia
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 27.4% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 26.3% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Independiente - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.66)
    3.45
    (3.35)
    5.23
    (5.25)
    6.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Independiente is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    03.06.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Independiente 0:0
    19.02.2023 Independiente - Defensa y Justicia 0:2
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)