Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (151/222) | 83% (326/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (151/222) | 83% (326/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (38/72) | 70% (94/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 10% (3/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Abaldo M. ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, Luna A. ⚽,
- 21', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 34', 2 - 1, Cerato G. ⚽,
- 43', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Jara F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Luna A. 🟨,
- 58', Jara F. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
- 58', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 66', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
- 74', Roffo M. 🟨,
- 75', Marcone I. 🟨,
- 75', Pussetto I. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
- 75', Arias S. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 76', Abaldo M. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 80', Lodico G. A. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 80', Luna A. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 81', Massaccesi A. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
- 88', Guerra N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rafaelli L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Godoy L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Instituto Córdoba
34.5% | Draw
32.2% | Independiente
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Instituto Córdoba - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.91) |
2.91 ↓
(3.01) |
2.84 ↑
(2.62) |
6.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Instituto Córdoba - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Instituto: Galvan J.
(Injury)
Romero J.
(Injury)
Suarez F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Instituto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Instituto Córdoba won against Independiente?
Instituto Córdoba has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Instituto Córdoba?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Instituto Córdoba - Independiente were as follows:
29.08.2025
Instituto Córdoba
-
Independiente
0:0
22.02.2025
Independiente
-
Instituto Córdoba
2:0
18.07.2024
Instituto Córdoba
-
Independiente
3:1
18.02.2024
Instituto Córdoba
-
Independiente
0:2
24.09.2023
Independiente
-
Instituto Córdoba
0:0
Latest results of Instituto Córdoba
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
