Result
0:3
31/10/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/373) | 84% (417/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/373) | 84% (417/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/96) | 72% (102/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Bogusz M. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rey L. ↓, Monarrez F. ↑,
- 50', Navarro E. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Marquez J. ⚽, Fernandez G. (A),
- 60', Marin R. ↓, Araos A. ↑,
- 60', Navarro E. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 60', Guerra E. ↓, Gamarra P. ↑,
- 64', Bogusz M. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
- 66', Gamarra P. 🟨,
- 72', Fernandez G. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 73', Paradela J. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Campos O. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
- 85', Rodriguez C. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
- 85', Marquez J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puebla
19.8% | Draw
23.6% | Cruz Azul
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Puebla - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↑
(3.55) |
3.99 ↑
(3.7) |
1.69 ↓
(1.92) |
5.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puebla - Cruz Azul?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.
- Puebla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Cruz Azul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cruz Azul is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Fedorco J.
(Ankle Injury)
Moyano F.
(Inactive)
Rivas J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Bogusz M.
(Illness)
Piovi G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Cruz Azul?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Puebla?
Cruz Azul has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Cruz Azul were as follows:
25.01.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Puebla
1:1
18.10.2024
Puebla
-
Cruz Azul
1:2
12.04.2024
Puebla
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
12.11.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Puebla
1:2
17.02.2023
Puebla
-
Cruz Azul
1:3
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Juarez (8) | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (4) | Monterrey (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL (2) | Club Tijuana (7) | 5 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Guadalajara Chivas (6) | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (5) | 3 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (2) | 0 : 1 |
