Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
17/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
39
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
10
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
911
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Catalan A. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Barreda I. ,
  • 29', Barreda I. 🟨,
  • 31', Pineda D. 🟨,
  • 36', Zetuna Y. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Cruz J. , Barreda I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tamay A. , Mascorro H. ,
  • 46', Zetuna Y. , Vazquez Hernandez A. ,
  • 54', Pineda D. , Cisneros D. ,
  • 57', Esqueda Romero J. A. 🟨,
  • 58', Di Pippa A. 🟨,
  • 64', Torres E. 🟨,
  • 69', Uribe H. , Galindo J. ,
  • 69', Sosa C. , Mata J. ,
  • 69', Morales F. , Ascencio E. ,
  • 75', Ascencio E. 🟨,
  • 81', Catalan A. , Arce R. ,
  • 82', Estopier J. , Lopez M. ,
  • 87', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 88', Cruz J. , Vazquez Garza H. A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Fadika B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', Sandoval T. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Fadika B. , Hernandez S. ,

Chances of winning


Correcaminos UAT
52.3%
Draw
24.8%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 26.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 25.6% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Correcaminos UAT's performance.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.03)
    3.74
    (3.53)
    4.03
    (3.4)
    8.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Correcaminos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT 1:1
    28.02.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT 0:1
    12.09.2024 Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1:3
    06.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT 1:0
    29.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 7:0
    Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos (1)Atlante (8)2 : 0, 0 : 2
    2Atl. Morelia (3)Zacatecas Mineros (6)2 : 0, 0 : 3
    3Cancun (2)Tapatio (7)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Atletico La Paz (4)Jaiba Brava (5)1 : 2, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos (1)Zacatecas Mineros (6)1 : 1
    2Cancun (2)Jaiba Brava (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2