Result
1:2
10/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Armenta J. E. H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, Razo L. ⚽, Saldivar J. (A),
- 44', Saldivar J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Escoboza A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ayala D. ↓, Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ↑,
- 46', Garcia L. ↓, Justo A. ↑,
- 46', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 48', Arellano A. 🟨,
- 49', Saldivar J. 🟨,
- 63', Razo L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez C. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
- 63', Corona N. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 67', Lopez D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 67', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
- 72', Mascorro H. ↓, Barreda I. ↑,
- 78', Escoboza A. ↓, Ham Puertos A. M. ↑,
- 80', Ruiz G. 🟨,
- 86', Flores S. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 2, Esqueda Romero J. A. ⚽, Cortes J. (A),
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
23.6% | Draw
26.9% | Jaiba Brava
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaiba Brava's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(3.04) |
3.56 ↑
(3.09) |
1.93 ↓
(2.39) |
4.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jaiba Brava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Jaiba Brava?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Jaiba Brava has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
01.11.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:1
08.03.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:0
22.09.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Jaiba Brava
1:1
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
