Result
2:0
03/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Pinela M. ⚽, Guzman W. (A),
- 45+3', Hernandez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ruiz A. ↓, Moreno Villegas J. A. ↑,
- 61', Hernandez A. ↓, Justo A. ↑,
- 62', Samano Salgado F. ↓, Samano L. ↑,
- 72', Mascorro H. ↓, Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ↑,
- 72', Cruz J. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
- 74', Venegas J. 🟨,
- 74', Justo A. 🟨,
- 77', Reyes J. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
- 84', Arellano A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
- 84', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
- 86', Franco J. 🟨,
- 89', Mendoza B. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Escoto A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
62.1% | Draw
21.8% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.45) |
4.24 ↓
(4.46) |
5.73 ↓
(6.08) |
8.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tepatitlán will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Tepatitlán is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
24.10.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:1
11.04.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4:0
27.10.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0:2
26.03.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
25.10.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:1
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final
