Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Kukuyan P. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (242/340) | 75% (288/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (242/340) | 75% (288/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 54% (43/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (69/119) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Ghandri N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Bezrukov R. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
- 61', Gadio P. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Daku M. ⚽,
- 77', Daku M. 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 81', Silva I. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 81', Vujacic I. 🟨,
- 86', Jocic B. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 87', Daku M. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
- 87', Todorovic D. ↓, Sidorov M. ↑,
- 87', Bogosavac M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 90+5', Shabanhaxhaj D. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
36.8% | Draw
29.1% | Akhmat Grozny
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.52) |
3.32 ↑
(3.3) |
2.83 ↓
(2.9) |
3.7%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubin (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Rubin (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubin (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 3.
- Recent performances by Rubin have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Akhmat has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Rubin: Drezgic U.
(Knee Injury)
Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Akhmat: El Mahraoui A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Akhmat Grozny?
Rubin Kazan has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Rubin Kazan?
Akhmat Grozny has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
22.10.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Akhmat Grozny
4:3
26.08.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rubin Kazan
2:0
20.07.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rubin Kazan
0:2
01.03.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rubin Kazan
2:1
05.10.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
