Result
0:1
02/05/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (207/312) | 55% (149/271) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (207/312) | 55% (149/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/73) | 32% (28/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (46/89) | 49% (55/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Daku M. ⚽, Gripshi N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mendel A. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
- 46', Petrov M. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
- 47', Rozhkov I. 🟨,
- 59', Kovalev Y. 🟨,
- 62', Kovalev Y. ↓, Pospelov V. ↑,
- 62', Petrov I. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
- 63', Gripshi N. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 77', Civic E. 🟥,
- 79', Daku M. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
- 79', Rozhkov I. ↓, Kuzyaev D. ↑,
- 85', Gassama N. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 89', Lobov N. ↓, Gritsaenko A. ↑,
- 89', Hodza V. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
- 90+3', Titkov N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Saavedra I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
46% | Draw
29.6% | Rubin Kazan
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.84) |
3.23 ↓
(3.41) |
3.92 ↓
(3.97) |
4.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)
- Baltika has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rubin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Baltika is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Baltika: Civic E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
Vujacic I.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Rubin Kazan?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
19.10.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
0:3
10.12.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
27.10.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:0
20.05.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
30.10.2022
Rubin Kazan
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
3:3
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
