Result
0:3
19/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (275/416) | 66% (236/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (275/416) | 66% (236/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 34% (35/103) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (39/85) | 56% (79/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 80 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Yenne T. (A),
- 19', 0 - 2, Petrov M. ⚽, Titkov N. (A),
- 20', Varatynov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 58', Petrov I. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 58', Yenne T. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,
- 63', Saus V. 🟨,
- 65', Iwu U. 🟨,
- 68', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 68', Petrov M. 🟨,
- 68', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
- 69', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 71', Titkov N. ↓, Pryakhin S. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Beveev M. ⚽,
- 84', Kabutov D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 85', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
- 87', Petrov M. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 89', Teslenko E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
37.9% | Draw
33.1% | Baltika Kaliningrad
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.52) |
2.93 ↓
(3) |
3.35 ↑
(3.13) |
3%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Baltika will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5)
- Rubin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Baltika is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Baltika: Mendel A.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Rubin Kazan?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
10.12.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
27.10.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:0
20.05.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
30.10.2022
Rubin Kazan
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
3:3
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
