Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:6
06/11/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
swedenSwedenTelia, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3227
Shots off target
1124
Shooting PCT
9.38% (3/32)22.22% (6/27)
Blocked Shots
1617
Goalkeeper Saves
2129
Saves PCT
80.77% (21/26)90.63% (29/32)
Penalties
42
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)50% (2/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (2/4)100% (2/2)
Hits
1311
Faceoffs Won
3222
Faceoffs %
59.2640.74
Giveaways
138
Takeaways
29
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:25, 1 - 0, Barbashev I. (G), Hanifin N. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 15:53, 2 - 0, Barbashev I. (G), Marner M. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:36, 2 - 1, Goncalves G. (G), James D. (A),
  • 03:28, 2 - 2, James D. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 05:37, Barbashev I. (2 min),
  • 11:37, Korczak K. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 4)
  • 00:48, (2 min),
  • 02:48, 2 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 03:37, 3 - 3, Marner M. (G),
  • 04:12, 3 - 4, Hagel B. (G), James D. (A),
  • 04:56, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 12:38, Lauzon J. (2 min),
  • 14:12, 3 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Hedman V. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
  • 15:15, Goncalves G. (2 min),
  • 19:13, 3 - 6, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vegas Golden Knights
41.4%		Draw
22.4%		Tampa Bay Lightning
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 21.5% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 21.7% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.3 ↑
    (2.25)    		 4.31 ↓
    (4.52)    		 2.63 ↓
    (2.74)    		 4.7%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 1.
    • Recent performances by Vegas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Suspended) Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Stone M. (Wrist Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:47. (average 3.3:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 3.7:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 2:1
    23.03.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2
    17.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 4:3
    19.03.2024 Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5
    21.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 5:4
    Latest results of Vegas Golden Knights
    04.11.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Detroit Red Wings 1:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Colorado Avalanche 2:4 ✺
    28.10.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Vegas Golden Knights 3:6 ✺
    26.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 2:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Florida Panthers - Vegas Golden Knights 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    04.11.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2 ✺
    02.11.2025 Utah Mammoth - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:4 ✺
    30.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 2:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Nashville Predators - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5 ✺
    26.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 2:1 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche61384910235:15393
    2Dallas Stars623171014216:17086
    3Minnesota Wild6324131016213:18284
    4Anaheim Ducks622015324211:21773
    5Vegas Golden Knights632181420207:20172
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers63228825223:21668
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks601812525188:21065
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13St. Louis Blues62222929162:21257
    14Chicago Blackhawks621851029166:20156
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks62136736163:23345


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes623010616220:17886
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings632411721186:19077
    5Montreal Canadiens6122111018218:20676
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Florida Panthers63256329191:21065
    14Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    15New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

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