Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
18/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 2, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Vinter
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+, Victory+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2026
Shots off target
616
Shooting PCT
5% (1/20)15.38% (4/26)
Blocked shots
1412
Goalkeeper Saves
2219
Saves PCT
88% (22/25)95% (19/20)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Hits
1521
Faceoffs Won
2919
Faceoffs %
60.4239.58
Giveaways
1317
Takeaways
36
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:00, 1 - 0, Back O. (G), Lundkvist N. (A), Bourque M. (A2)
  • 05:24, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 08:04, 1 - 1, James D. (G), Guentzel J. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
  • 18:04, Hryckowian J. (2 min),
  • 18:04, Carlile D. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 06:16, Robertson J. (2 min),
  • 11:04, 1 - 2, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 14:20, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 18:50, 1 - 3, Guentzel J. (G), James D. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:26, Blackwell C. (2 min),
  • 17:59, 1 - 4, Holmberg P. (G), Gourde Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Stars
36.5%
Draw
23%
Tampa Bay Lightning
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 23.3% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 21.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.52)
    4.17
    (4.16)
    2.36
    (2.54)
    4.9%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2%64.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Stars will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
    • Recent performances by Dallas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Heiskanen M. (Personal Reasons) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 44:59. (average 2.2:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 2.4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    30.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 2:1
    20.03.2025 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3
    23.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 2:4
    04.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 4:0
    02.12.2023 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:1
    Latest results of Dallas Stars
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 4
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)4 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)2 : 4
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 4
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)4 : 2
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 0
    2Vegas Golden Knights (4)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 0
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 0
    4Buffalo Sabres (2)Montreal Canadiens (4)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2