Result
4:2
06/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (4/28) | 5.88% (2/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (32/34) | 88.89% (24/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 30.91 | 69.09 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:58, Raddysh D. (2 min),
- 18:14, Burns B. (2 min),
- 19:48, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:22, 1 - 1, Kelly P. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Solovyov I. (A2)
- 07:28, Bardakov Z. (2 min),
- 09:31, 1 - 2, Nelson B. (G), Makar C. (A),
- 17:22, 2 - 2, Girgensons Z. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:19, D'Astous C. (2 min),
- 08:31, 3 - 2, Hagel B. (G), Crozier M. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 18:35, 4 - 2, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 20:00, D'Astous C. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
37.3% | Draw
22.3% | Colorado Avalanche
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Avalanche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.74) |
4.27 ↓
(4.39) |
2.36 ↑
(2.15) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 60%). Colorado (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
- Tampa Bay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Colorado is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
- There will not play in Colorado: Blackwood M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Landeskog G.
(Upper-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
Toews D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Colorado: Kiviranta J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 71:59. (average 3.6:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 4.4:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Colorado Avalanche?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colorado Avalanche won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Colorado Avalanche has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche were as follows:
04.11.2025
Colorado Avalanche
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
25.11.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Colorado Avalanche
8:2
30.10.2024
Colorado Avalanche
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:5
15.02.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Colorado Avalanche
6:3
27.11.2023
Colorado Avalanche
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:1
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Colorado Avalanche
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
