Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa).

Ekstraklasa - Round 11
Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.50	0.38
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
22	5
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
86% (433/503)	82% (348/422)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50	0.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.20	1.39
Total shots
22	5
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
16	4
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
34	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
86% (433/503)	82% (348/422)
Long passes
58% (30/52)	56% (18/32)
Passes in final third
79% (141/179)	68% (63/93)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.81	0.53
Throw-ins
16	11
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
35% (6/17)	52% (12/23)
Duels won
53	51
Clearances
20	21
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.39	2.20
Goals prevented
1.39	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Ede B. 🟨,
26', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Brunes J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ede B. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
54', Svarnas S. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽, Pienko T. (A),
61', Rodrigues I. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
61', van Hoeven B. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
70', Repka O. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
70', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
71', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
76', Dadashov R. 🟨,
81', Pienko T. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
81', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
84', Dadashov R. ↓, Lewandowski F. ↑,
88', Seck I. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
90+3', Tudor F. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Raków Częstochowa
60.5%

Draw
22.4%

Motor Lublin
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.9%

14.1%

Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)	4.14 ↓ (4.52)	5.51 ↓ (6.28)	7.2% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Motor will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Raków (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Motor (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.
In this match, Raków is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Raków: Adriano (Yellow Cards) Arsenic Z. (Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Lopez I. (Injury)
There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye M. (Injury) Plichta K. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Raków won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Motor Lublin?

Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Raków Częstochowa?

Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin were as follows:

07.12.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin 2:2

21.07.2024 Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2

01.03.2023 Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa 0:3

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

02.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa 0:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Motor Lublin

29.09.2025 Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom 2:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin 2:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin 0:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	19	8	9	2	23:13	10	33
2	Gornik Zabrze	19	10	3	6	31:25	6	33
3	Jagiellonia	18	9	5	4	32:22	10	32
4	Cracovia	19	8	6	5	26:21	5	30
5	Rakow	19	9	2	8	27:25	2	29
6	Zaglebie	19	7	7	5	31:26	5	28
7	Korona Kielce	19	7	6	6	23:20	3	27
8	Radomiak Radom	18	7	5	6	35:30	5	26
9	Lech Poznan	19	6	8	5	30:30	0	26
10	Motor Lublin	19	5	9	5	25:29	-4	24
11	Lechia Gdansk	19	8	4	7	40:38	2	23
12	Piast Gliwice	19	6	5	8	21:21	0	23
13	GKS Katowice	18	7	2	9	25:28	-3	23
14	Pogon Szczecin	19	6	3	10	29:34	-5	21
15	Arka Gdynia	18	6	3	9	15:32	-17	21
16	Widzew Lodz	19	6	2	11	27:31	-4	20
17	Legia	19	4	7	8	20:23	-3	19
18	Termalica B-B	19	5	4	10	24:36	-12	19

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1