Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 11
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (433/503) | 82% (348/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (433/503) | 82% (348/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 56% (18/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (141/179) | 68% (63/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Ede B. 🟨,
- 26', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Brunes J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ede B. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
- 54', Svarnas S. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽, Pienko T. (A),
- 61', Rodrigues I. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 61', van Hoeven B. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 70', Repka O. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 70', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 71', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 76', Dadashov R. 🟨,
- 81', Pienko T. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 81', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
- 84', Dadashov R. ↓, Lewandowski F. ↑,
- 88', Seck I. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
- 90+3', Tudor F. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
60.5% | Draw
22.4% | Motor Lublin
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.46) |
4.14 ↓
(4.52) |
5.51 ↓
(6.28) |
7.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Motor will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Raków is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Adriano
(Yellow Cards)
Arsenic Z.
(Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Lopez I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A.
(Knee Injury)
Ndiaye M.
(Injury)
Plichta K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Raków won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Motor Lublin?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Raków Częstochowa?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin were as follows:
07.12.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Motor Lublin
2:2
21.07.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
01.03.2023
Motor Lublin
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:3
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Cracovia | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 27:24 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Rakow | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Zaglebie | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 28:23 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 25:26 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 | Pogon Szczecin | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Legia | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 16 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
