Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
33%
Draw
27.1%
Raków Częstochowa
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 26.4% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 26.1% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (3.11)
    3.45
    (3.6)
    2.33
    (2.21)
    6.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Motor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Raków has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin 2:0
    07.12.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin 2:2
    21.07.2024 Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    01.03.2023 Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa 0:3
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan27129646:37945
    2Jagiellonia27119743:34942
    3Gornik Zabrze27126939:32742
    4Zaglebie27118841:33841
    5Wisla Plock27109828:26239
    6Rakow271161036:34239
    7GKS Katowice271231236:35139
    8Motor Lublin27911736:39-338
    9Lechia Gdansk27126955:50537
    10Korona Kielce271061135:33236
    11Cracovia2799931:31036
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Radomiak Radom27810943:41234
    14Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    15Legia27712832:31133
    16Arka Gdynia27961228:45-1733
    17Widzew Lodz27861332:35-330
    18Termalica B-B27671433:50-1725

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1