Texas Stars vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
14/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2838
Shooting PCT
21.43% (6/28)5.26% (2/38)
Goalkeeper Saves
3622
Saves PCT
94.74% (36/38)78.57% (22/28)
Penalties
1114
PIM
3953
Power-play Goals
20
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
14.29% (2/14)0% (0/11)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (11/11)85.71% (12/14)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 00:22, 1 - 0, Hughes C. (G), Taylor T. (A), Shlaine A. (A2)
  • 01:17, 2 - 0, Stranges A. (G), McKenzie C. (A), Poirier J. (A2)
  • 18:20, 3 - 0, Scott H. (G), McKenzie C. (A),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 04:01, 4 - 0, Seminoff M. (G), Hughes C. (A), Poirier J. (A2)
  • 12:06, 5 - 0, Karow M. (G), Shlaine A. (A), Poirier J. (A2)
  • 19:16, 6 - 0, Seminoff M. (G), Hughes C. (A), Poirier J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 18:08, 6 - 1, Regula A. (G), Pitlick R. (A), Stillman R. (A2)
  • 19:57, 6 - 2, Regula A. (G), Poulin S. (A), Hutson Q. (A2)

Chances of winning


Texas Stars
38.3%
Draw
22.5%
Bakersfield Condors
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 24.1% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 26.1% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Texas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.25)
    4.1
    (3.8)
    2.37
    (2.6)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bakersfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Texas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Texas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 51:67. (average 2.6:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Texas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 2.5:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    13.03.2026 Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors 1:4
    03.02.2024 Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors 1:2
    02.02.2024 Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors 3:5
    02.12.2023 Bakersfield Condors - Texas Stars 6:4
    01.12.2023 Bakersfield Condors - Texas Stars 3:4
    Latest results of Texas Stars
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 613512113207:13595
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 63336816204:16886
    3Charlotte Checkers62307520208:17079
    4Hershey Bears62216926179:20063
    5Bridgeport Islanders61215827180:18960
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms62189629184:20960
    7Springfield Thunderbirds61223828169:21258
    8Hartford Wolf Pack62204632168:21454


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 61377413205:12892
    2Chicago Wolves602271219187:19270
    3Texas Stars60229425184:19266
    4Manitoba Moose59254624150:16964
    5Milwaukee Admirals59179726169:17359
    6Rockford IceHogs62186533171:20753
    7Iowa Wild59166631144:18450


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign62319517205:16885
    2Colorado Eagles622881016204:16382
    3San Jose Barracuda60299418213:18080
    4Bakersfield Condors612481019203:19274
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds602212521201:18573
    6Henderson Silver Knights612741020221:19672
    7San Diego Gulls622361221189:19070
    8Tucson Roadrunners611712923196:20667
    9Calgary Wranglers631191429173:23454
    10Abbotsford Canucks64148636146:21850


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 632811519207:16783
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 62353519206:15781
    3Cleveland Monsters622013722184:18873
    4Toronto Marlies622471021200:19472
    5Rochester Americans59206924180:18661
    6Belleville Senators63186930198:23357
    7Utica Comets61193930161:19753

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )