Bakersfield Condors vs Tucson Roadrunners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
08/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2827
Shooting PCT
17.86% (5/28)7.41% (2/27)
Goalkeeper Saves
2523
Saves PCT
92.59% (25/27)82.14% (23/28)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:52, 1 - 0, Keppen E. (G), Stillman R. (A), Brown M. (A2)
  • 04:18, 1 - 1, Agozzino A. (G), Poganski A. (A), Lamoureux M. (A2)
  • 09:59, 2 - 1, Howard I. (G), Marjala V. (A),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 1)
  • 04:21, 3 - 1, D'Amato D. (G), Petrov M. (A), Poulin S. (A2)
  • 05:32, 3 - 2, Russo R. (G), Ricketts J. (A), Perunovich S. (A2)
  • 19', 4 - 2, (G),
  • 20', 5 - 2, (G),

Chances of winning


Bakersfield Condors
43%
Draw
22%
Tucson Roadrunners
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 22.4% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 23.7% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Tucson Roadrunners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.12)
    4.21
    (4.09)
    2.65
    (2.68)
    7.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 3.
    • Recent performances by Bakersfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tucson's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 65:61. (average 3.3:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 3.4:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners 2:0
    06.03.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners 2:3
    13.12.2025 Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors 7:8
    12.12.2025 Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors 5:4
    03.12.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners 5:1
    Latest results of Bakersfield Condors
    AHL Table
    Main

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 724113216239:162110
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 72406917243:186101
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 71349523234:18691
    4Bridgeport Islanders72277830219:22276
    5Springfield Thunderbirds72284832207:24072
    6Hershey Bears71256931205:22671
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms712110634209:24368
    8Hartford Wolf Pack72224838190:25360


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 71438515251:153107
    2Chicago Wolves ✔ 712691521220:21785
    3Texas Stars ✔ 72289629222:22880
    4Manitoba Moose ✔ 72296829185:21678
    5Milwaukee Admirals ✔ 711913732205:21671
    6Iowa Wild72207936179:22663
    7Rockford IceHogs72208539196:24561


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 723611520237:18799
    2Colorado Eagles ✔ 723291120237:19893
    3Henderson Silver Knights ✔ 723451221263:22590
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ 712813624233:21488
    5Bakersfield Condors ✔ 722981223244:23686
    6San Jose Barracuda ✔ 723010428243:23084
    7San Diego Gulls ✔ 722761227224:22878
    8Tucson Roadrunners7221131028230:23978
    9Abbotsford Canucks71198737169:23261
    10Calgary Wranglers721491534203:26961


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 712912822231:19690
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 72383724237:18989
    3Cleveland Monsters ✔ 712313926211:22381
    4Toronto Marlies ✔ 712781026225:22680
    5Utica Comets722641131199:22071
    6Rochester Americans71229931210:23071
    7Belleville Senators72217935223:26265

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )