Sarmiento de Junín vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
0:1
24/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalSport TV3
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.091.28
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
42% (61/146)47% (84/178)
Yellow Cards
71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.091.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.34
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
15
Shots outside the Box
01
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
313
Passes
42% (61/146)47% (84/178)
Long passes
25% (19/77)29% (15/52)
Passes in final third
38% (35/93)41% (28/68)
Crosses
18% (2/11)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.150.70
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
133
Tackles
58% (7/12)83% (5/6)
Duels won
2533
Clearances
2626
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.340.64
Goals prevented
1.340.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Veliz A. 🟨,
  • 32', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Roncaglia F. ↓, Orihuela R. ↑,
  • 46', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
  • 46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
  • 46', Contrera J. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
  • 46', Coronel E. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
  • 46', Quintana C. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
  • 46', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
  • 52', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 67', Godoy J. 🟨,
  • 79', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
  • 83', Ardaiz J. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
  • 87', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 90', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 90', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 90', 0 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Gomez J. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
  • 90+6', Campaz J. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
  • 90+8', Insaurralde J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
22.6%		Draw
32.3%		Rosario Central
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 30.7% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 31.6% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.
  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.18 ↑
    (3.11)    		 2.9 ↓
    (3.08)    		 2.12 ↓
    (2.43)    		 5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 23.1% – 88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rosario (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Rosario (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Rosario (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
    • Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rosario is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rosario might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    19.07.2024 Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín 4:2
    03.03.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central 4:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    19.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    19.10.2025 Rosario Central - Platense 1:0 ✺
    11.10.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 1:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Rosario Central - River Plate 2:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 0:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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