Sarmiento de Junín vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.061.58
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
37
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
37
Passes
71% (216/305)77% (308/401)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.061.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.23
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1217
Passes
71% (216/305)77% (308/401)
Long passes
40% (27/68)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
55% (50/91)59% (74/126)
Crosses
33% (7/21)56% (9/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.01
Throw ins
2318
Fouls
1712
Tackles
47% (7/15)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
3123
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
1.230.43
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Villalba C. , Zabala C. ,
  • 15', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 32', Renteria J. , Magnin P. ,
  • 33', Zabala C. 🟨,
  • 36', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Auzmendi A. , Steimbach A. (A),
  • 45+3', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia M. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Magnin P. , Salle S. (A),
  • 63', Schelotto N. , Seoane M. ,
  • 63', Fernandez N. , Zalazar M. ,
  • 77', Miramon I. , Panaro M. ,
  • 77', Torres M. , Torres F. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 82', Suarez L. , Pasquini N. ,
  • 82', Salle S. , Marquez B. ,
  • 87', Santamaria T. 🟨,
  • 88', Auzmendi A. , Bolzan C. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Torres F. , Steimbach A. (A),

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
37.8%
Draw
32.9%
Gimnasia La Plata
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 30.6% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 30.3% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.35)
    2.87
    (3.03)
    3.22
    (3.12)
    5.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Sarmiento is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sarmiento is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Contrera J. (Yellow Cards) Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    18.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 1:1
    27.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    28.08.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)