Result
1:1
25/08/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (317/435) | 78% (383/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (317/435) | 78% (383/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/70) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (79/123) | 59% (48/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Miguel Borja ↓, Salas M. ↑,
- 46', Meza J. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 56', Segovia A. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 63', Boselli S. ↓, Montiel G. ↑,
- 63', Colidio F. ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
- 66', Medina A. 🟨,
- 74', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 75', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Montiel G. ⚽, Giuliano Galoppo (A),
- 78', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Costantini G. ↑,
- 87', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 87', Medina A. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 90', Salas M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽, Bou W. (A),
Chances of winning
Lanús
30.2% | Draw
32.8% | River Plate
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lanús - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.46) |
2.87 ↓
(3.03) |
2.55 ↑
(2.31) |
6.1%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - River Plate (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R.
(Head Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Ortellado F.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in River Plate: Bustos F.
(Injury)
Meza M.
(Knee Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
Salas M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against River Plate?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Lanús?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - River Plate were as follows:
16.02.2025
River Plate
-
Lanús
1:0
21.07.2024
River Plate
-
Lanús
2:2
04.03.2023
Lanús
-
River Plate
0:2
Latest results of River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
