River Plate vs Libertad Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
21/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldPluto TV, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.26
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (398/528)66% (232/349)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.621.29
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
3724
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
156
Passes
75% (398/528)66% (232/349)
Long passes
46% (26/57)40% (34/84)
Passes in final third
63% (100/158)51% (62/122)
Crosses
25% (4/16)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.08
Throw-ins
2327
Fouls
817
Tackles
56% (10/18)48% (11/23)
Duels won
6958
Clearances
3550
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
75
xGOT faced
1.291.62
Goals prevented
0.290.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Franco I. 🟨,
  • 20', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Rojas R. , Fernandez H. (A),
  • 45+4', Rojas R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Diaz P. , Boselli S. ,
  • 52', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 54', Quintero J. , Galarza M. ,
  • 61', Campuzano A. , Caballero H. ,
  • 61', Fernandez H. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 68', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 68', Driussi S. , Miguel Borja ,
  • 70', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 77', Sanabria L. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 77', Franco I. , Villalba R. ,
  • 78', Perez E. , Castano K. ,
  • 79', Colidio F. , Subiabre I. ,
  • 89', Aguilar G. , Recalde J. ,
  • 90+1', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 1)
  • 1, Fernandez N. (Pen),
  • 1, Recalde J. (Pen),
  • 2, Miguel Borja (Pen),
  • 2, Viera D. (Pen),
  • 3, Acuna M. (Pen),
  • 3, Caballero H. (Pen),
  • 4, Martinez Quarta L. (Pen),
  • 4, Fernandez M. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
73%
Draw
18.5%
Libertad Asuncion
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.9% 17.6% 8.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • River Plate - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.27)
    5.08
    (5.35)
    11.26
    (10.96)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for River Plate - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 42%87.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - River Plate (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - River Plate (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, River Plate is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in River Plate: Martinez Quarta L. (Knee Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Libertad: Morinigo Acosta R. M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Bustos F. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Libertad Asuncion - River Plate 0:0
    Latest results of River Plate
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)