Essendon Bombers vs St Kilda Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/08/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 4

Match Stats


Goals
11	11
Behinds
9	11
Kicks
225	191
Handballs
145	140
Disposals
370	331
Frees For
21	25
Frees Against
25	21
Clearances Completed
29	36
Marks
114	82
Tackles
68	67
Hitouts
52	32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (20 - 9)
01:21, Higgins J. (G),
03:11, Wright P. (G),
06:00, McMahon L. (G),
08:33, Durham S. (Behind),
10:17, Menzie J. (Behind),
21:08, Unwin R. (G),
23:05, Dodson A. (Behind),
24:57, Wood M. (Behind),
28:11, (Behind Rushed),
2nd Quarter (16 - 26)
01:25, Steele J. (Behind),
02:50, Menzie J. (Behind),
05:39, Sharman C. (G),
07:44, Lual L. (G),
10:46, Menzie J. (Behind),
11:50, Kako I. (Behind),
14:50, Boxshall H. (Behind),
15:58, Langford K. (G),
18:24, Sharman C. (G),
20:32, Higgins J. (G),
25:32, Guelfi M. (Behind),
28:56, Wood M. (G),
3rd Quarter (19 - 26)
01:13, Marshall R. (G),
03:00, Perkins A. (G),
08:05, Marshall R. (Behind),
10:46, Perkins A. (G),
13:08, Hall M. (Behind),
16:24, Wilson D. (G),
19:13, McGrath A. (Behind),
23:37, Higgins J. (G),
26:14, McMahon L. (G),
27:14, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
4th Quarter (20 - 16)
00:23, McMahon L. (G),
04:14, Sharman C. (Behind),
06:28, Menzie J. (G),
11:04, Hobbs B. (Behind),
14:51, Sinclair J. (Behind),
17:05, Garcia H. (Behind),
21:43, Wood M. (G),
24:44, Sharman C. (G),
27:44, Langford K. (G),
29:08, Collard L. (Behind),
33:53, Redman M. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Essendon Bombers
22.9%

St Kilda Saints
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Essendon Bombers's form might have worsened.

St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Kilda Saints's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.22)		1.24 ↓ (1.35)	6.3% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-29)

What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints?

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. St Kilda will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 69:98.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2.
Essendon is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
St Kilda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, St Kilda is a strong favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1430:1569. (average 75.3:82.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 738:825. (average 82:91.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Essendon Bombers won against St Kilda Saints?

Essendon Bombers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Essendon Bombers?

St Kilda Saints has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints were as follows:

27.07.2024 St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers 108:55

30.03.2024 Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints 71:67

01.04.2023 St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers 92:74

03.03.2023 St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers 67:32

Latest results of Essendon Bombers

08.08.2025 Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers 109:65 ✺

02.08.2025 Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers 68:54 ✺

25.07.2025 Essendon Bombers - Western Bulldogs 50:143 ✺

17.07.2025 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 56:104 ✺

12.07.2025 Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers 46:37 ✺

Latest results of St Kilda Saints

08.08.2025 Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints 52:56 ✺

02.08.2025 St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos 78:69 ✺

27.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons 96:90 ✺

19.07.2025 Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints 113:82 ✺

13.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans 87:92 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Adelaide Crows (1)	Collingwood Magpies (4)	55 : 79
3	Brisbane Lions	Bye
4	Fremantle Dockers (6)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	79 : 80
5	Geelong Cats (2)	Brisbane Lions (3)	112 : 74
7	Adelaide Crows	Bye
8	GWS Giants (5)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	88 : 107

Quarter-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Bye
2	Brisbane Lions (3)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	100 : 47
3	Geelong Cats (2)	Bye
4	Adelaide Crows (1)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	67 : 101

Semi-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Brisbane Lions (3)
2	Geelong Cats (2)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	115 : 85

Final

1

TBD #1

Geelong Cats (2)