Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/05/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 12

Match Stats


Goals
16	8
Behinds
11	8
Kicks
207	203
Handballs
147	140
Disposals
354	343
Frees For
19	20
Frees Against
20	19
Clearances Completed
30	40
Marks
102	91
Tackles
82	38
Hitouts
37	42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (25 - 21)
00:56, Elliott J. (G),
03:13, (Behind Rushed),
06:27, Worpel J. (G),
08:36, Ginnivan J. (G),
09:53, Moore D. (Behind),
14:34, Hoskin-Elliott W. (Behind),
15:18, Daicos N. (G),
17:28, Mihocek B. (G),
20:03, Sidebottom S. (G),
21:45, Ginnivan J. (G),
26:58, Hardwick B. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (38 - 18)
02:39, Elliott J. (G),
03:58, Ginnivan J. (G),
08:07, Sidebottom S. (G),
12:15, Elliott J. (G),
14:55, Weddle J. (G),
17:13, Gunston J. (G),
20:40, Crisp J. (Behind),
21:35, Mihocek B. (G),
24:52, Hill B. (Behind),
26:11, Elliott J. (G),
27:51, Lipinski P. (G),
3rd Quarter (30 - 14)
01:49, Mihocek B. (Behind),
03:06, Newcombe J. (Behind),
03:51, Elliott J. (Behind),
04:58, Elliott J. (G),
06:50, Membrey T. (Behind),
07:45, Mihocek B. (G),
09:39, Lipinski P. (G),
12:55, (Behind Rushed),
14:59, Watson N. (G),
16:50, Gunston J. (G),
22:31, Crisp J. (Behind),
26:52, Membrey T. (G),
29:08, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
31:40, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (14 - 3)
03:36, Morrison H. (Behind),
07:06, Hill B. (G),
10:57, (Behind Rushed),
17:56, Mihocek B. (G),
21:59, Daicos J. (Behind),
22:33, (Behind Rushed),
26:41, Moore D. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Collingwood Magpies
58.6%

Hawthorn Hawks
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)		2.24 ↑ (2.08)	7.3% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks?

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:80.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 3.
Collingwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hawthorn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Collingwood might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1577:1880. (average 78.9:94).
Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 579:610. (average 72.4:76.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Collingwood Magpies has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Collingwood Magpies?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

20.07.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 133:67

07.04.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 77:72

05.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 105:73

02.03.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 100:106

Latest results of Collingwood Magpies

24.05.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Collingwood Magpies 63:108 ✺

16.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:68 ✺

08.05.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies 83:97 ✺

03.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 87:90 ✺

25.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers 107:66 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93 ✺

15.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 104:96 ✺

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

04.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers 109:44 ✺

27.04.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - West Coast Eagles 124:74 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	15	13	0	2	1393:1026	135.77	52
2	Brisbane Lions	15	10	1	4	1316:1160	113.45	42
3	Adelaide Crows	15	10	0	5	1479:1058	139.79	40
4	Western Bulldogs	16	10	0	6	1716:1288	133.23	40
5	Geelong Cats	15	10	0	5	1477:1158	127.55	40
6	Hawthorn Hawks	15	10	0	5	1347:1138	118.37	40
7	Fremantle Dockers	15	10	0	5	1271:1151	110.43	40
8	Gold Coast Suns	14	9	0	5	1317:1095	120.27	36
9	GWS Giants	15	9	0	6	1294:1203	107.56	36
10	Port Adelaide Power	15	7	0	8	1156:1305	88.58	28
11	Carlton Blues	15	6	0	9	1186:1181	100.42	24
12	Sydney Swans	15	6	0	9	1171:1271	92.13	24
13	Essendon Bombers	14	6	0	8	1010:1304	77.45	24
14	Melbourne Demons	15	5	0	10	1176:1356	86.73	20
15	St Kilda Saints	15	5	0	10	1196:1388	86.17	20
16	North Melbourne	16	4	1	11	1237:1601	77.26	18
17	Richmond Tigers	15	3	0	12	963:1486	64.80	12
18	West Coast Eagles	15	1	0	14	1003:1539	65.17	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
Germany	Sportdigital+
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2