Güemes vs Alvarado: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Güemes - Alvarado
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 9
  • Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)
Güemes - Alvarado - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
43
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
43
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
20
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Blasi B. 🟨,
  • 39', Borgnino M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Griffa E. , Perez P. ,
  • 55', Papa G. 🟨,
  • 59', Russo F. , Becker D. ,
  • 59', Gobetto J. , Mansilla M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Veliz D. ,
  • 66', Bettini M. 🟨,
  • 68', Veliz D. , Brylko H. ,
  • 68', Papa G. , Fissore M. ,
  • 77', Borgnino M. , Ascacibar J. ,
  • 83', Leguiza M. 🟨,
  • 84', Gerez M. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Bolzicco T. ,
  • 90+3', Juarez W. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 90+3', Bergara M. , James J. ,

Chances of winning


Güemes
45.3%
Draw
31.4%
Alvarado
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 32.8% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 32.1% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.
  • Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Güemes - Alvarado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.29)
    2.94
    (2.81)
    3.96
    (3.43)
    8.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Güemes - Alvarado?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Güemes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Güemes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Güemes is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Güemes - Alvarado were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Güemes - Alvarado 2:1
    31.03.2024 Alvarado - Güemes 0:0
    14.07.2023 Güemes - Alvarado 0:2
    11.03.2023 Alvarado - Güemes 2:1
    Latest results of Güemes
    Latest results of Alvarado
    09.03.2025 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    02.03.2025 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Atlanta22109321:12939
    2San Martin T2198420:13735
    3San Miguel2188521:15632
    4Gimnasia y Tiro2288619:13632
    5Patronato2288626:21532
    6Tristan Suarez22711418:14432
    7Deportivo Madryn2079422:17530
    8Deportivo Maipu2178620:19129
    9Racing Cordoba2169626:27-127
    10Colegiales2276912:17-527
    11Almagro2168716:18-226
    12Los Andes2167819:21-225
    13Ferro2167813:19-625
    14Quilmes2059619:18124
    15Club A. Guemes22412618:21-324
    16All Boys22411718:20-223
    17Alvarado2047913:22-919
    18Arsenal Sarandi21291015:29-1415


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy22119223:101342
    2Gimnasia Mendoza211010122:101240
    3Deportivo Moron2199323:101336
    4Chacarita Juniors21106527:151236
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto2199322:13936
    6Chaco For Ever21113725:17836
    7Temperley2298521:17435
    8Agropecuario2287725:25031
    9CA Estudiantes2286819:17230
    10Def. de Belgrano2078517:13429
    11CA Mitre2177716:14228
    12San Telmo2169619:22-327
    13Nueva Chicago2167819:20-125
    14Central Norte22741117:25-825
    15Colon Santa Fe21631215:22-721
    16Almirante Brown2139914:25-1118
    17Defensores Unidos2217148:37-2910
    18Talleres (R.E)2215166:26-208

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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