El Porvenir vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 25

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Alvarenga M. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Vielma P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Franco A. ,

Chances of winning


El Porvenir
41.7%
Draw
31.2%
Lugano
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 29.5% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • El Porvenir - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.16)
    2.91
    (2.98)
    3.34
    (3.33)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • El Porvenir could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Porvenir - Lugano were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Lugano - El Porvenir 2:0
    28.09.2024 El Porvenir - Lugano 1:0
    28.04.2024 Lugano - El Porvenir 2:1
    25.11.2023 Lugano - El Porvenir 0:1
    21.08.2023 El Porvenir - Lugano 3:1
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Latest results of Lugano
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui22007:256
    2Lugano22005:056
    3Mercedes22003:036
    4CSR Espanol21015:233
    5Estrella Del Sur21014:313
    6Victoriano A21012:113
    7Puerto Nuevo21012:203
    8Juventud Unida S. M21011:103
    9Sacachispas21011:3-23
    10Leandro N. Alem21014:7-33
    11Argentino de Rosario20112:3-11
    12Def. de Cambaceres20112:4-21
    13Justo Jose de Urquiza20020:4-40
    14Deportivo Paraguayo20021:7-60


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Barracas22003:036
    2General Lamadrid21103:124
    3Central Ballester21102:024
    4Canuelas11002:113
    5Central Cordoba11001:013
    6Yupanqui21012:3-13
    7El Porvenir10101:101
    8Leones de Rosario10100:001
    9Deportivo Espanol20111:2-11
    10Club Lujan20111:2-11
    11Claypole20111:2-11
    12Deportivo Muniz20110:1-11
    13Fenix20111:3-21
    14Atlas20110:2-21

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