Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Alvarenga M. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Vielma P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Franco A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
El Porvenir 41.7% | Draw 31.2% | Lugano 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
El Porvenir - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2.16) |
2.91 ↓ (2.98) |
3.34 ↑ (3.33) |
10.3% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- El Porvenir could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Porvenir won against Lugano?
El Porvenir has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against El Porvenir?
Lugano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Porvenir - Lugano were as follows:
25.05.2025
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
2:0
28.09.2024
El Porvenir
-
Lugano
1:0
28.04.2024
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
2:1
25.11.2023
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
0:1
21.08.2023
El Porvenir
-
Lugano
3:1
Latest results of El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Berazategui | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Mercedes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | CSR Espanol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Estrella Del Sur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Victoriano A | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Juventud Unida S. M | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Sacachispas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Leandro N. Alem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Argentino de Rosario | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Def. de Cambaceres | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Barracas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | General Lamadrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Central Ballester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Canuelas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Yupanqui | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | El Porvenir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Leones de Rosario | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Deportivo Espanol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Club Lujan | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Claypole | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Deportivo Muniz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Atlas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )