Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
118
Yellow Cards
51
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
118

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Schlotthauer M. 🟨,
  • 55', Barbieri M. , Giaccone F. ,
  • 55', Fernandez V. , Veron L. ,
  • 55', Mast T. , Ciancio V. ,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 69', Tus E. , Gomez M. ,
  • 82', Mast T. 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Rodriguez T. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Chivilcoy
44%
Draw
29.9%
Douglas Haig
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 26.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 25% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.
  • Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Douglas Haig's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Douglas Haig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.63)
    3.13
    (3.43)
    3.57
    (4.99)
    7.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-4. 2nd leg.
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 1.
    • Recent performances by Ind Chivilcoy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Douglas Haig is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ind Chivilcoy could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 4:2
    01.09.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig 2:0
    22.06.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig 0:0
    20.04.2025 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 1:1
    01.09.2024 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 4:3
    Latest results of Douglas Haig
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

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