Result
1:3
27/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (185/255) | 92% (612/664) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (185/255) | 92% (612/664) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 61% (25/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (37/80) | 84% (184/220) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.48 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Barrios R. 🟨,
- 7', Paredes L. 🟨,
- 7', Tapia I. 🟨,
- 14', Tapia I. 🟨,
- 19', Bruera F. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 0, Insua R. ⚽, Candia J. (A),
- 45', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
- 45', Miloc D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 48', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, Gimenez M. ⚽, Barinaga J. (A),
- 57', Carlos Palacios ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 58', Barinaga J. ↓, Advincula L. ↑,
- 59', Candia J. 🟨,
- 65', Miloc D. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
- 66', Candia J. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 3, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
- 71', Rak Y. ↓, Mater F. ↑,
- 72', Barrios R. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
- 76', Insua R. 🟨,
- 77', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
- 90+4', Paredes L. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barracas Central
19.8% | Draw
30.9% | Boca Juniors
49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barracas Central - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.68 ↑
(2.85) |
3.11 ↓
(3.2) |
1.96 ↓
(2.45) |
4.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Boca Juniors?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Boca Juniors (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Boca Juniors (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Boca Juniors will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 24 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Barracas Central: Candia J.
(Injury)
Insua R.
(Knee Injury)
Lopez L.
(Ankle Injury)
Pianovi F.
(Ankle Injury)
Rosane S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Carlos Palacios
(Muscle Injury)
Delgado M.
(International duty)
Fabra F.
(Coach's decision)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Boca Juniors?
Barracas Central has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Barracas Central?
Boca Juniors has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Boca Juniors were as follows:
06.04.2025
Boca Juniors
-
Barracas Central
1:0
04.08.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Barracas Central
1:1
20.07.2023
Barracas Central
-
Boca Juniors
1:2
01.04.2023
Barracas Central
-
Boca Juniors
0:3
Latest results of Barracas Central
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
