Result
0:0
23/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (398/486) | 76% (327/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (398/486) | 76% (327/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/60) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (105/147) | 57% (64/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Takagi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 57', Asano Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 61', Takagi Y. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
- 61', Shimamura T. ↓, Moraes ↑,
- 72', Nogami Y. 🟨,
- 73', Nogami Y. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 73', Kimura Y. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
- 73', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
- 73', Taniguchi K. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Uchida T. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
34.6% | Draw
29.3% | Nagoya Grampus
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.05) |
3.23 ↓
(3.36) |
2.61 ↑
(2.35) |
5.4%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
- Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Nagoya has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kawazura A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
Yamagishi Y.
(Red Card)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Nagoya Grampus?
Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Albirex Niigata?
Nagoya Grampus has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
31.05.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Albirex Niigata
3:0
02.11.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Albirex Niigata
4:3
18.09.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Albirex Niigata
3:0
09.03.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
05.08.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Albirex Niigata
1:0
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 48:28 | 20 | 61 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 41:26 | 15 | 57 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:33 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Machida | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:33 | 14 | 52 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 42:45 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:45 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Okayama | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Verdy | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 20:35 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:36 | -16 | 28 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:55 | -27 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 27:50 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
