Result
2:1
18/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (257/360) | 77% (356/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (257/360) | 77% (356/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (72/116) | 69% (133/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽,
- 13', Hara T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 19', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
- 25', Arai N. 🟨,
- 30', Germain R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Arai N. ↓, Kim Ju-Sung ↑,
- 46', Germain R. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Suzuki A. ⚽, Kawabe H. (A),
- 58', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Izumi R. ↑,
- 58', Koda H. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 67', Sasaki S. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Kimura Y. ⚽, Takamine T. (A),
- 72', Petrovic M. 🟨,
- 75', Kawabe H. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 84', Shiotani T. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 85', Nogami Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
- 86', Morishima T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
28.4% | Draw
25.3% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(2.9) |
3.72 ↓
(3.94) |
2.03 ↓
(2.18) |
6.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hiroshima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Nagoya Grampus has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
27.08.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:4
20.04.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:1
08.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
04.09.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
17.08.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
