Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Football Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka
Result
4:5
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.994.48
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
714
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
75% (198/265)86% (482/563)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.994.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.554.66
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
714
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
620
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1639
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
79
Passes
75% (198/265)86% (482/563)
Long passes
41% (22/54)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
64% (58/91)75% (153/203)
Crosses
21% (3/14)33% (12/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.83
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
108
Tackles
56% (5/9)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3146
Clearances
4316
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
93
xGOT faced
4.661.55
Goals prevented
-0.34-2.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Nitta R. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Hiraoka T. ⚽,
  • 39', Tachi K. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Fukuoka S. ⚽, Hatsuse R. (A),
  • 45', Tachi K. 🟥,
  • 45+4', 3 - 1, Oda Y. ⚽, Hiraoka T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Kurokawa K. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
  • 49', 3 - 2, Mito R. ⚽,
  • 53', 3 - 3, Nakatani S. ⚽, Hatsuse R. (A),
  • 62', Nitta R. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
  • 72', Ishibashi S. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
  • 72', Ze Ricardo ↓, Barada A. ↑,
  • 72', Mito R. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
  • 81', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
  • 82', Oda Y. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
  • 82', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
  • 82', Mitsuta M. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
  • 88', 3 - 4, Juan Alano ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
  • 90', Hatsuse R. ↓, Miura G. ↑,
  • 90+7', 3 - 5, Yamashita R. ⚽,
  • 90+10', 4 - 5, Oiwa K. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
  • 90+11', Juan Alano 🟨,
  • 90+11', Suzuki Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
25.8%		Draw
27.2%		Gamba Osaka
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 28.4% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 28.9% 42.7%

Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.65 ↑
(3.35)		 3.46 ↑
(3.33)		 2.02 ↓
(2.18)		 5.8%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 44.1% – 94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Suzuki A. (Yellow Cards) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Mitsuta M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 4:0
    21.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 3:2
    20.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    01.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    19.08.2023 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    23.08.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 2:2 ✺
    10.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺
    23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺
    19.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    23.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC 3:2 ✺
    20.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺
    16.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺
    10.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 0:3 ✺
    02.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Reims 1:2
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers ✔ 36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC ✔ 36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
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