Result
24:25 OT
21/06/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Fox League, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 40 | 100 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 181 | 191 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 1671 | 1785 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 12)
- 4', Grant H. (Try),
- 5', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
- 6', Hughes J. (Try),
- 7', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Johnston A. (Try),
- 28', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (20 - 12)
- 44', Johnston A. (Try),
- 45', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- 47', Johnston A. (Try),
- 49', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Anderson G. (Try),
- 54', Johnston A. (Try),
- 54', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Wishart T. (Try),
- 71', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Munro T. (Try),
- 78', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 84', Papenhuyzen R. (Drop Goal),
Chances of winning
South Sydney Rabbitohs
21.1% | Draw
3.5% | Melbourne Storm
75.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(3.01) |
26
(26) |
1.24 ↓
(1.41) |
8.8%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 49.00The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 308:512. (average 15.4:25.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 144:235. (average 14.4:23.5).
How many head-to-head matches has South Sydney Rabbitohs won against Melbourne Storm?
South Sydney Rabbitohs has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against South Sydney Rabbitohs?
Melbourne Storm has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
25.04.2025
Melbourne Storm
-
South Sydney Rabbitohs
24:16
08.08.2024
South Sydney Rabbitohs
-
Melbourne Storm
16:28
25.04.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
South Sydney Rabbitohs
54:20
06.05.2023
Melbourne Storm
-
South Sydney Rabbitohs
12:28
31.03.2023
South Sydney Rabbitohs
-
Melbourne Storm
10:18
Latest results of South Sydney Rabbitohs
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Canberra Raiders | 22 | 18 | 4 | 606:434 | 42 |
| 2 | Melbourne Storm | 22 | 17 | 5 | 647:389 | 40 |
| 3 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 22 | 15 | 7 | 500:386 | 36 |
| 4 | New Zealand Warriors | 22 | 14 | 8 | 469:443 | 34 |
| 5 | Cronulla Sharks | 22 | 13 | 9 | 535:468 | 32 |
| 6 | Penrith Panthers | 22 | 12 | 9 | 532:421 | 31 |
| 7 | Brisbane Broncos | 21 | 12 | 9 | 566:452 | 30 |
| 8 | Sydney Roosters | 22 | 11 | 11 | 577:505 | 28 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 22 | 10 | 12 | 623:542 | 26 |
| 10 | Manly Sea Eagles | 22 | 10 | 12 | 488:484 | 26 |
| 11 | Wests Tigers | 21 | 9 | 12 | 411:518 | 24 |
| 12 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 22 | 8 | 14 | 454:548 | 22 |
| 13 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 23 | 9 | 14 | 421:572 | 22 |
| 14 | NQ Cowboys | 22 | 8 | 13 | 474:618 | 21 |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 22 | 8 | 14 | 410:546 | 20 |
| 16 | Newcastle Knights | 21 | 6 | 15 | 300:486 | 18 |
| 17 | Gold Coast Titans | 22 | 5 | 17 | 454:655 | 16 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
