Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
60.6%
Draw
4.4%
Wests Tigers
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 3.8% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 4.1% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Wests Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Melbourne Storm - Wests Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.64)
    19.73
    (24.5)
    2.69
    (2.35)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 5.
    • Melbourne has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Wests has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 524:281. (average 26.2:14.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 291:114. (average 32.3:12.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Wests Tigers were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Melbourne Storm - Wests Tigers 64:0
    06.07.2024 Wests Tigers - Melbourne Storm 28:40
    17.06.2023 Wests Tigers - Melbourne Storm 6:28
    24.03.2023 Melbourne Storm - Wests Tigers 24:12
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Latest results of Wests Tigers
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers981291:12216
    2New Zealand Warriors972278:17014
    3Sydney Roosters862253:20214
    4South Sydney Rabbitohs853260:19212
    5Wests Tigers853219:17912
    6NQ Cowboys963239:22712
    7Manly Sea Eagles844227:17610
    8Cronulla Sharks844244:20810
    9Dolphins945228:20710
    10Brisbane Broncos954210:20910
    11Newcastle Knights954232:26210
    12Canberra Raiders945183:2498
    13Canterbury Bulldogs936157:2388
    14Gold Coast Titans826158:2046
    15Parramatta Eels936194:3156
    16Melbourne Storm927198:2604
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons808114:2650

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )