Result
2:1
09/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Caiza J. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente Juniors
51.9% | Draw
30.2% | 9 de Octubre
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Juniors's performance.9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Octubre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Juniors that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.2) |
3.1 ↑
(3) |
5.23 ↑
(3.22) |
6.7%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Juniors will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Juniors will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 3.
- Independiente Jr is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- 9 de Octubre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Independiente Jr is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against 9 de Octubre?
Independiente Juniors has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 9 de Octubre won against Independiente Juniors?
9 de Octubre has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre were as follows:
17.07.2025
Independiente Juniors
-
9 de Octubre
1:0
07.05.2025
9 de Octubre
-
Independiente Juniors
0:0
19.09.2024
9 de Octubre
-
Independiente Juniors
2:2
31.07.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
9 de Octubre
2:1
20.06.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
9 de Octubre
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Latest results of 9 de Octubre
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gualaceo | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | Leones del Norte | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:21 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
