Inter Miami vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
27/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.712.27
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
84% (397/471)82% (346/421)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.712.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.953.84
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2223
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
84% (397/471)82% (346/421)
Long passes
57% (31/54)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
72% (71/98)66% (77/116)
Crosses
32% (7/22)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.301.04
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1113
Tackles
59% (13/22)73% (19/26)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
1633
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.841.95
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Moore S. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Moore S. (Own goal),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Obando A. , Fray I. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 56', 3 - 1, Martinez D. ,
  • 58', Norris N. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 58', Show , Pedrinho ,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Urhoghide O. ,
  • 65', Falcon M. , Allen N. ,
  • 65', Leo Afonso , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 69', 3 - 3, Julio Santos A. A. , Pedrinho (A),
  • 75', Obando A. , Allende T. ,
  • 75', Bright Y. , Segovia T. ,
  • 81', 3 - 4, Pedrinho , Farrington L. (A),
  • 83', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 88', Farrington L. , Scott T. ,
  • 90+1', Acosta L. , Ntsabeleng T. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
50%
Draw
24.7%
FC Dallas
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 22.3% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 21.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Dallas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Dallas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Inter Miami - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.67)
    3.86
    (4.32)
    3.76
    (4.77)
    4.8%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Inter Miami (2.75) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Dallas (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Inter Miami (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Inter Miami (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Inter Miami (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Dallas (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Dallas (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Dallas (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Dallas (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Dallas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Inter Miami is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Farfan M. (Leg Injury) Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Musa P. (Ankle Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter Miami won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - FC Dallas were as follows:
    22.01.2024 FC Dallas - Inter Miami 1:0
    06.08.2023 FC Dallas - Inter Miami 4:5
    08.04.2023 Inter Miami - FC Dallas 0:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)