Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights
Result
6:25
24/05/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 12
Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
14
Conversion Goals
14
Conversion Goal Attempts
24
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
50100
Dropped Goals
01
Dropped Goal Attempts
01
Total Runs
171201
Metres Run With Ball
16672060

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 24)
  • 5', Sharpe F. (Try),
  • 6', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Lucas D. (Try),
  • 11', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', Lucas D. (Try),
  • 14', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Lucas D. (Try),
  • 26', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 1)
  • 58', Hassett H. (Try),
  • 60', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Cogger J. (Drop Goal),

Chances of winning


Penrith Panthers
61.7%
Draw
4.1%
Newcastle Knights
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.4% 3.6% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1% 3.6% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penrith Panthers's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Knights's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penrith Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.36)
    22.4
    (26)
    2.77
    (3.31)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 41.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Penrith will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 4.
    • Penrith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newcastle is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Penrith could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Penrith will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 518:270. (average 25.9:13.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 254:108. (average 28.2:12).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights 22:14
    16.06.2024 Newcastle Knights - Penrith Panthers 18:26
    24.06.2023 Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights 20:12
    15.04.2023 Newcastle Knights - Penrith Panthers 15:15
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders16133434:33028
    2Canterbury Bulldogs14113336:24028
    3Melbourne Storm14104459:26326
    4New Zealand Warriors15105321:31024
    5Brisbane Broncos1587398:33420
    6Sydney Roosters1477344:32820
    7Penrith Panthers1577322:31919
    8Dolphins1688478:31618
    9Manly Sea Eagles1578350:31018
    10Cronulla Sharks1688366:37018
    11St. George Illawarra Dragons1468306:35118
    12NQ Cowboys1568316:45017
    13Newcastle Knights16610237:30414
    14Wests Tigers15510290:37414
    15Parramatta Eels15510287:39014
    16South Sydney Rabbitohs16610293:40414
    17Gold Coast Titans15411312:45612

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    germanyGermanySportdigital+
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action
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