Germinal vs Villa Mitre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Torneo Federal Germinal - Villa Mitre
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Federal - Round 11
Germinal - Villa Mitre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
714
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Ponce A. ,
  • 32', Rojas D. 🟨,
  • 39', Tanner F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', (Pen),
  • 65', 1 - 1, Zadel D. ,
  • 66', Gimenez F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germinal
24.3%
Draw
32.2%
Villa Mitre
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 31.4% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 31% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Germinal - Villa Mitre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.6)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    2.09
    (2.1)
    9.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Germinal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Villa Mitre is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Villa Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Villa Mitre were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Villa Mitre - Germinal 2:0
    25.08.2024 Villa Mitre - Germinal 1:0
    02.06.2024 Villa Mitre - Germinal 2:0
    07.04.2024 Germinal - Villa Mitre 1:0
    24.09.2023 Villa Mitre - Germinal 3:0
    Latest results of Germinal
    Latest results of Villa Mitre
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti18131431:131840
    2Villa Mitre18105322:91335
    3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1875619:15426
    4Deportivo Rincon1882822:20226
    5Kimberley1875617:13426
    6Circulo Deportivo1872917:21-423
    7Guillermo Brown1863919:29-1021
    8Santamarina1848618:22-420
    9Sol de Mayo1845916:27-1117
    10Germinal18441016:28-1216


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Bolivar1694324:91531
    2Costa Brava1686217:71030
    3Biblioteca Atenas1681717:14325
    4Argentino MM1665515:16-123
    5San Martin Mendoza1663719:19021
    6Huracan Las Heras1663715:20-521
    7Juventud U.U1648414:13120
    8Sportivo Estudiantes1646613:14-118
    9Gutierrez Mendoza16221212:34-228


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chivilcoy1879217:14330
    2Douglas Haig1878318:12629
    3Sportivo Belgrano1876519:12727
    4Independiente Chivilcoy1868416:13326
    5Sportivo Las Parejas1857620:19122
    69 de Julio Rafaela1764719:20-122
    7Defensores Belgrano VR184869:14-520
    8Gimnasia E.R1855814:20-620
    9El Linqueno1847716:20-419
    10Ben Hur1746715:19-418


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sarmiento de La Banda16102421:111032
    2San Martin Formosa1687129:92031
    3Atl. Rafaela1675419:15426
    4Juventud Antoniana1665519:15423
    5Bartolome Mitre1656515:14121
    6Sol de America1655621:19220
    7Sarmiento Resistencia1646612:22-1018
    8Boca Unidos1626816:27-1112
    9Crucero del Norte16241010:30-2010

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )

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