Germinal vs Villa Mitre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
714
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Ponce A. ,
  • 32', Rojas D. 🟨,
  • 39', Tanner F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', (Pen),
  • 65', 1 - 1, Zadel D. ,
  • 66', Gimenez F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germinal
24.3%
Draw
32.2%
Villa Mitre
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 31.4% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 31% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Germinal - Villa Mitre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.6)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    2.09
    (2.1)
    9.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Germinal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Villa Mitre is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Villa Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Villa Mitre were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Villa Mitre - Germinal 2:0
    25.08.2024 Villa Mitre - Germinal 1:0
    02.06.2024 Villa Mitre - Germinal 2:0
    07.04.2024 Germinal - Villa Mitre 1:0
    24.09.2023 Villa Mitre - Germinal 3:0
    Latest results of Germinal
    Latest results of Villa Mitre
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )